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Old 17-02-2005, 12:30   #47 (permalink)
sr2
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Re: Yet another newbie system!

Ok here is some more analysis work. Please let me know if you spot any mistakes. This was done on a piece of paper while I was very tired

The analysis is for the JAN trades the system produced as shown on page 1 of the thread (same order). Please note this is what could have

happened not what did happen. Obviously for this to happen the calls for exit would have had to be very good!!!

CCY Type Open Price Best Price Date of Best
====== ==== ======== ======= ==========
AUDUSD Sell 0.7642 0.7504 18/1/05
USDCAD Buy 1.2277 This was not a trade as the price difference was over a 100 pips slowMA = 1.2166
EURGBP Sell 0.7020 0.6845 4/2/05
USDCAD Buy 1.2245 1.2363 20/1/05
EURCHF Sell 1.5402 Stop Loss hit
GBPJPY Buy 192.98 199.37 17/2/05 This is still open so could go up more
USDJPY Buy 103.52 106.84 10/2/05 This is still open at 105.34 so could go up more
AUDUSD Buy 0.7700 0.7888 14/2/05 This is still open so could go up more
EURGBP Sell 0.6942 0.6854 7/2/05 This is still open so could go up more


The following are the amount of potential pip profits/losses:

CCY Pips
====== ========
AUDUSD 138
USDCAD No trade
EURGBP 175
USDCAD 118
EURCHF -100
GBPJPY 639
USDJPY 332
AUDUSD 188
EURGBP 88

Total = 1578

Deduct the EURGBP trade as it is still open and has not hit SL so new total is 1490 pips.

Now lets assume that the other trades were closed at 50 pips of maximum profit. As we have 6 trades for this. We have 300 pips. Lets deduct this from the pip total of 1490 to leave 1190. If 100 pips is rought $800 this would be $9520.

This would be a VERY rough estimate of how many pips could be made if a good exit strategy was implemented.

If I have made any obvious mistakes and assumptions which I should noe have please let me know. If anyone can help out with the exit strategy

such as ATR please let me know.

Thanks
SR2
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