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Old 20-07-2005, 13:39   #2
MickMason
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Re: Interest rate differentials

Quote:
Originally Posted by bbjit
I want to bounce of this idea of all the old hands on the forum :

Whatif you open a small position without a stop in any currency pairs that pay more than 2% interest on your positions such as the GBP/JPY which at my broker pays 2.94% currently and USD/JPY pays 2.47%.

The idea is that you take the 80 monthly ATR and then you average down IF the price move against you that much... and never take the position down for a few years...


I also know the biggest drawdown is that if one looks at the GBP/JPY cross on the last ten years it has fallen from 570 at its peak to a low of 128 so that gives you a difference of a 442 BIG numbers in the red with the atr on average 8 - 10 one looks at more or less 55 to 44 lots IF you bought right at the top and would need just on a mini account in the region of $ 39000 to $40000, is this worthwhile if one can stand this amount of "heat" for a long time.

I know there is a lot of whatif scenarios but can you share your thoughts on this please...

Regards


Hi bbjit

My immediate thought would be don't do it, but having said that if your pockets are deep enough and you get in at a reasonable level then why not, you get the rollover and the potential for profit....but then again, with a 100k account wouldn't you be better off in a high yield investment with guaranteed returns where your money is safe?

It will be interesting to hear some other views.

Mick
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