Thread: Retractments
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Old 15-10-2004, 02:37   #15 (permalink)
Wallace
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The Daily chart below illustrates a series of Retracements, a1/r1, a2/r2, a3/r3 what the price Retraced to, and notably the a3/r3/r3 example where both the LL and LC were used to target a Retracement level (when the Close is used it often indicates an end of the Wave).
The major A/R fibo Retracement as on the 60 min chart has remained useful since it was drawn.

The 3rd component of analysis is Time. I rely on price Bar Counting and found that the Lucas fibonacci series numbers work on the EURUSD, while Fibonacci series numbers, or Lucas, may work on other pairs.
Fibonacci series: 1 3 5 8 13 21 34 55 89 144.
Lucas series: 1 4 7 11 18 29 47 76 123 199.

The alternative to BC is having a fibo Time tool to project Time targets.

Price movement analysis is always subjective, particularly when using the EWP. While there's a premise in the 60 min chart that a 5th Wave to higher prices exists, that appears less so in the Daily, while a High to around 1.245 wouldn't be unreasonable, it hits the major 61.8% Retracement level and 200% Projection, which could then mean a decline during BC 11 days to a Low occuring on the US Election date of Nov 2+.

Trust the above assists.
Attached Thumbnails
retractments-retrc2.gif  
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