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[Batcheler]

Originally Posted by Idoogye

And yes indeed, maybe even "99 & 44/100%"! And...[GASP!] Dare I even think it? - If this ain't the "GRAIL" - it's about as close as you can hope to get, eh?

We'll talk more. Cheers!
Idoogye

Grail? lol Close, just did a USDJPY train from mid Jan 04, and it had a one bad trail stop period for a straight down for 1-1/2-mo then fast rise (fortunately later dates are seeming train-to-walkFWD responding excellent), so we do have our anomalies to watch for, like those whiplash moments before continuing on or this trail_stop that needs our own eyeballing kind of trail_stop. So .......hey, NOTHING in physical universe is going to be PERFECT, but damn if technology didn't do us a super shake on this!

EURUSD hadn't shown this trail stop problem. But it seems we'll have so many wonderful moments compared to these weird anomalies on rare occassion.

Me thinks looking at modeling is an ongoing endeavor now, one has to stay on top of it. Before I thought I could reach some golden goose's egg and lean back on it, but noooooo, even life in general shows its never that way.

[Batcheler]

Hi folks,

Here is Latest USDJPY eNNya training for past chart date 102304, 2MB bitmap:

All these signals on chart are purely walk-forward, just as though each daily bar arrived totally unbeknownst and thown anew at eNNya to "figure out".

http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...kFWD102304.bmp

Notice in middle of chart the high that is opposite the Short entry. Seems about 50 pips. Also notice off to the right there's another high of about a hundred pips after a Short signal. Give you these so you get feeling of where we're going, 160 pip stops seems still cool. The region off to the furthest right the forecasting poops-out because its too far from where last training was, but even so, all the trades after first couple ones are nonetheless still quite good. The most robust & correct trades are the first couple of trades after that date, first going Short, then at bottom of swing, it sniffed-out to go Long, right on time!

To me this is like creme-de-la-creme, because all the times I've played with TD & charts, USDJPY always seemed more chaotic, so this is icing on the cake to see for me.

Please notice the longer type period trades to get idea of the repeatidy (sp)of trades and not-in trades occurences. So I have no idea WHEN we'll be getting IN a trade at first here, 1 day? 1-1/2 month? Its up to eNNya-II. That's why you need to examine chart and see how she could tell Sigs for different time elapses and waveforms to get idea just how much we can't know when we could get in! LOL

Going to try to have by Trade time today snipits out of the chart of walk_FWD for our current trades.....that we're not in yet, due to eNNya-II just opening her biz-doors, so we're not "in" yet with her current trade Sigs as we have just found her (and these short periods ARE in WalkFWD though!).

[Batcheler]

Trades (4/19)
--------

EURUSD, no trades yet, eNNya still in a Short from that 1.35 previous high hump, so we're waiting for something new.

USDJPY, also in a Short from previous date hump of 108.50 height, so we're waiting here too until something new to enter happens.

OK, need to relax and go out and see a movie, its middle of my "weekend" so like to relax somehow! LOL Tonite I will post the pix-snipits (smaller file size) of those two trades eNNya is in walk-FWD wise, its interesting! So look for it. Now I fly out the door, but first thanks to you all for being here and participating in this adventure, I didn't think doing this on a forum was anything, but its been of great value for the comm and the company on this journey. Especial thx to Stephen, Darryl and Stephen for your extra help.
Latest anomalies I been finding have been handleable, will discuss more later! See ya!

[Batcheler]

hi folks,
burnin' the midnite oil again last nite. Modeling looking real good. This time I discovered how to do modeling with no searching for an EMA(long-P), my old models normalizing method, things already got to a wonderful stage where I use JUST the walk-forward mode after entering new days data, and do modeling behind the scenes, now even behind the scene more breezy and exact too with NO searching! Amazing.

JUst bought a $25 software from http://www.winsoftmagic.com/ to compress chart images I url-post here. An amazing piece of software. Converted THESE charts I'm going to show you here from bitmap 2MB to 20KB or 12KB. Fantastic!

So here is latest eNNyaII modeling!:
(use expand icon that'll pop-up on your browser window to see more clearly)
http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...32305_JPEG.jpg
http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...32305_JPEG.jpg

In one case we are in a Short waiting to get out and into a new trade, and in another simply no trade. See if you can see that from these jpeg pixs (thanks to winsoftmagic!). The last date for which these models are modeled to is 4/23/05, so you can get approximate idea of where that is on chart by looking at month info at bottom of chart. One of them also has either a whip_back_lash or a losing trade going on, can you see which one? Don't see those very often with eNNyaII ! lol anyone want to wager it'll be a whiplash or a loss? lol I bet whiplash, but that's only being in slight betting mood, no factual info intended.

Nothing in these charts are doing anything but some gain, as it is only a small amount of time chart-wise, plus its consolidation time around a peaked-out hump. I've done modeling with last train dates of 1/01/05 as well as 1/01/04, and they all show amazing stuff throughout nearly ALL the remaining daily bar data-time left!.....ON WALK-FORWARD!!! So heck, I don't know what more proof we can get! I really don't. Things look up to snuff to carry-on now.

So in upcoming days ahead be prepared to ENTER TRADES!

OK, enjoy! See you at 5:15pmEST! Going to park to see trees, water, and the ducks this morning before doing your WalkFWDs in afternoon. (oh my, am I showing my 55 yrs or what! lol )

Thanks again to those helping in an extra way, and for being here.

[firedave]

Hi Jerry, did you try Microsoft Paint to reduce your picture size yet ? Also JPEG format is the smallest one compare to BMP format. It's a free tools. Just my two cents

[bigcat]

Jerry,

great job on reducing the size of those image files! They look fine and pop right up when I click on them.

I will turn 55 years old this year -- life just keeps getting better and better, and this is not related to any money situation. I hope the same for you.

Bigcat

[Batcheler]

Originally Posted by firedave

Hi Jerry, did you try Microsoft Paint to reduce your picture size yet ? Also JPEG format is the smallest one compare to BMP format. It's a free tools. Just my two cents

is that right Dave, ms-painter will convert from bmp to jpg? Oh well, if it does, guess after all the tech jargon I get tired and go for some software thrill ride. this one I bought as mentioned.....one just clicks-on the choice image and it converts pronto, then save-as if one wishes. love it already.

OK folks, fasten your seat-belts! Here is Walk-forward on EURUSD from 1/1/04 til now! No TA info gotten AFTER that date, strickly the TAs that matter in modeling, plus the prices themselves in TA-hopper to aid in eNNya normalizing, and voila, good for a year of good predictions WITHOUT re-train:

http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...WD10104JPG.jpg

USDJPY not so smooth a "joint", if you know what I mean. But its good from 1/1/05! Not too shabby either.

naturally, these are done this way to see how general, strong and robust the models are for pure walk-forward predicting, as I re-model just a little ways back from p.t. (present time). Currently its at 3/23/05.

So if you ever doubt or wonder what we're going thru at any time, just take good ganders at these kind of charts from eNNyaII to see how she handles different curve shapes.

See you with trades or no trades (booo, I know! lol ) at 5:15pmEST

[sanpedro]

The last short trade on the chart looks like it may have been stopped out. Is that what you see Jerry?

[Idoogye]

Originally Posted by sanpedro

The last short trade on the chart looks like it may have been stopped out. Is that what you see Jerry?

- Depends, of course, on the entry price. Looks to me like about 1.2910-20. 1.2920 + 160 = 1.3080. Price right now (16:54 EDT) is 1.3089. So, I'd say yeah, stopped out. Time to reverse?

[Batcheler]

Trades (4/20)
---------------------
No trades yet, both are in a Short.

Idoogye and sanpedro are both going "Whaaa!!!???" LOL Hey guys, my apologies, USDJPY seems same model, but EURUSD, apparently I've been so deep into modeling & tweaking, that this OLD procedure from way back before I did this thread with "eNNya" REQUIRES careful attention to NOT play with current model used UNTIL its finished being used in strategy-runner! Sorry 'bout that folks. Current model of EURUSD has a short right at top of the 1.3500 hump, and it stays that way thus far throughout that dribble down.

That is my new heavy duty contemplation, model sustenance during live walk-forward!!! My apologies. It's old stuff I just recalled AND its SO new stuff in that WOW(!), actual NN predictions! Before it was an NN TA type INDICATOR, now we're doing the "real thing"! So in diving into deepness in certain areas and improving, another deal about operating pops-up!

sorry guys, we'll get this straight, otherwise sanpedro would've been right, a stopped-out, but no, per tweaked model....NOW.....its end-of-dog-wagging-tail waving around.

Back to bat-cave contemplating this deal.

Thx for all your understanding. Shall re-post a graph for EURUSD.

THX!

[Batcheler]

ok, hi gang, here is EURUSD chart, I just snipped-it and posted on my site:
http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...rt10105JPG.jpg
I looked at the date of last train, and indeed it was last nite. So PROMISE!
no more foolin' with sacred models!!! (ones we walk-forward with) ['cause playing with those is a no-no during actual mid trades or waiting for trades or any other kind of looking rackety-racks...re: real time]

sorry again folks, its been a rough 'n tumble 1-1/2 week, so many new ways 'n means I discovered, tired-out now and I wouldn't be coherent on where all I been if you were to sit me down to go thru them!

OK, hopefully we're settling-out and going for it!

[Batcheler]

Trades (4/21)
----------------------------------------------------------------------


ditto! No trades, both pairs still in a previous short from a Short atop the camel humps on both. So soon as "Shorty" stops ridin' the camel we can get to business! LOL

And YES! I've gotten keenly aware and more aware whilst in this production mode, vs. research mode, to keep the model I'm using as "sacred", hands-off! (Put in its comment window, those words! lol) OK? I get a pass for now? lol hope so.

OK gang, end of week! See you Sun. 5:15pmEST bright-eyed 'n bushy-tailed!

Thanks again to all who have done some extra help, it was quite a surprise the response, never had that kind of thing happen in my life, eNNya seconds that, lol,

Over weekend, perhaps there's some cute jpg to show you, we'll see. Take care all!

[Batcheler]

EURUSD Chart for your weekend spring-drink-imbibing, LOL
Date training stops and walk-forward begins is 8/23/04. Blue-line is eNNya-II 4 day AHEAD (!!) prediction line! So when chart signal gets to where it is, your comparing the predicted price at that date to chart actual price on that date, just to clarify things. End of blue-line is 4 days into future when looking at last date, but jpg is not expandable like a real chart to see that, trust me on that 4 days, or eyeball it, LOL :-)
Last short on curve is what we're waiting to finish so that next trade occurs and we can thus S-T-A-R-T!!!! (screaming, lol) lol
http://www.freeviralvisitors.com/TD_...D102304JPG.jpg

Note we just HAPPEN to be in a rare moment when the blue-line is off in a direction of prices that seem not to care and go other direction. The performance report shows things still within SL bounds we described before, or it be that rare moment when SL is hit. Note today's price went back toward blue-line ending direction. Now look back around Christmas week and you'll see a similar-situation, and see how things got grooved in sync thereafter with only around 60 pip loss. All pretty amazing stuff. I'm fairly confident we''ll see similar now, blue-lines show strength in keeping downturn, buuuut, prices trying to tempt eNNya, ...orrrr, who knows, it just might hit the SL.......orrrr.....curve may follow how eNNya feels of this downturn strength. We'll just have to wait it out and SEE!

See you Sunday!

[Batcheler]

correction: I mentioned look around Christmas time......incorrect, look around Dec 1st. thx.

[bigcat]

Hi Jerry,
Hope you have a nice weekend too!
When we look at these charts, and there is a green or red triangle, is it correct to say that our entry/exit price would be the close of the bar at which the triangle appears? In which case, if there were a trade on right now, we would be short EUR from about 1.2920?
It looks like back in December, eNNya didn't call the end of the short until the price had gone about 50 pips further in the long direction than it has in the current situation. If so, this might mean that if the EUR stays between 1.29 and 1.31, eNNya might stay with her current signal for a long time ... ?
Bigcat