COT Reports

[currencia]

This is good stuff.

And now whatdoes the chart say? ....

[James]

"Ouch, I don't like purple"?

OR

"Things are a-changing"?

[Iris]

Now we have Curvo-Linear Circular Time/Price Directional Discovery/Movement/Bias...seems like the Dawn of a New Age in Advanced Projection Market Theory is evolving.

Its Better to be on the Cutting Edge of Research/Technology...

Time has arrived for those Proprietary Research/Overlays in the Vault to stand the Light of Day and the Test of Time.

Great Research in the Mentor Thread my Friend....

Iris

[bearprofits]

Been away from the trades and forums the past few days, been out on business...

Iris, Novice, Currencia, James & Everyone, thank you all for your continued interest and sharing your knowledge, about COT reports and trading in general, in these threads. Please continue!!!!

Bobnat, I agree.... IMHO when a trader truly understands these concepts and can incorporate them into his/hers views of market direction, It's one more big step to being on the right path.

Just a poor bears thoughts, Thanks again everyone

[Iris]

A COT 10 Yr Treasury Note Analysis from Chairman Greenspan.....

Prices in financial markets have already adjusted in anticipation of a significant amount of policy tightening, engendering additional alteration of balance sheets in recent months. An unwinding of carry trades--that is, market positions premised on low short-term financing costs--seems to be under way, at least judging from a pronounced shift in the trading portfolios of primary dealers. In addition, investors classified as non-commercial have established net short positions in ten-year Treasury note futures in recent months. Indeed, the swing toward a net short position on ten-year Treasury note futures has been the largest since the inception of the contract in the 1980s, likely offsetting a significant portion of the interest rate exposure of previously established carry trade positions.

Chairman Alan Greenspan
before the Committee on Banking...U.S. Senate.
July 20, 2004

Iris

[Iris]

US Dollar Index rallies back toward the 50Fib Consolidation Range of the move South from 92.50 basis...with a pronounced decline in Open Interest...the 87 basis is the level to watch for a South break for USD to establish the next Bear leg down... a break of 91.50 builds USD strength with a North move thru 92.50<>93 putting the Bulls in Directional Net Majority Position.

[Iris]

Open Interest Major High/Low for USD in conjunction with Eur/Usd Time/Price at those levels based on Weekly Close for both Markets....notice current OI is now on a 3rd retest of the 2004 Lows...a break lower will be 1st Signal of continued Commercial Short Covering... and Buying into US Dollar strength.

[bearprofits]

Iris,

Thankyou!

Please keep on posting!

A Greatful Bear!