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View Poll Results: How many pips do you earn in 1 month on average?
More than 1000 70 13.06%
500-1000 122 22.76%
300-500 98 18.28%
100-300 120 22.39%
0-100 71 13.25%
Less than 0 55 10.26%
Voters: 536. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 21-01-2005, 12:10   #65
TheSundanceKid
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Finally, someone with something intelligent to say!
Sure beats tedious bickering with Comenow.
Now we're making progress...

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
This is a very interesting point. I know that you're right, yet it never ceases to surprise me. It seems to me that it somehow "ought" to be less "shameful" to admit to being lacking in the education necessary to do something than to be lacking in emotional control or self discipline. And yet it seems not to be. Without in any way wishing to make any sort of anti-American point or express any sort of anti-American view, I wonder if this is connected with the fact that trading forums are slightly American orientated because the whole of the internet is slightly American orientated, and that something about the nature of American society predisposes towards a great interest in this sort of "psychology" to the extent that these days many people no longer find it embarrassing to admit to being lacking in emotional control or self discipline. I am simply thinking aloud, and of course with no wish to offend anyone. It's just something that surprises me.

Yeah, I think mostly it's just human nature in general not to want to admit/realize that you may be incompetent when it comes to trading - or anything else for that matter.
Maybe it's easier and less shameful to blame it on emotions rather than intellect because we feel that we can improve/correct our emotional deficiencies easier than our intellectual deficiencies - or that they're less important.
You made an interesting point regarding how the American culture influences this...
Maybe it could also directly pertain to trading in general, as that's where our emotional "issues" are most evident/easily recognizable. We deal with our emotions every day in normal life, but it's not as clear cut or as easily distinguishable as to whether we "win or lose" in life, as it is in trading. It's much easier to see how our emotional desicions affect the outcome of our trading.

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
I think perhaps it's a semantic point. Not so easy these days for unintelligent people to get into graduate school, IMHO, and I don't mean just a narrow academic definition of "intelligent". However, perhaps we can agree that no amount of letters after your name will make you streetwise or give you any practical skills for everyday life or more specifically trading successfully?

Yes, that is a semantic point. I was just trying to point out that trading, like many things, often requires something more and/or different than an academic type of intelligence. The second part of your statement is in line with this.
IMO, Trading may be as much (or more) about common sense (which I consider to be a form of intelligence) than it is about an "academic type" of intelligence.

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
Assuming you are not going out with Imelda Marcos (is she still alive?) I commend you on your choice of girlfriend, anyway.

LOL, no, she's a little too old for me...and probably way out of my league. Wasn't she like a beauty queen back in the day though?

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
Not at all, I was merely trying to pour water on troubled oil.

Don't you know water and oil don't mix!

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
Ok, I understand you now. You are right that I misunderstood before. It is because we mean different things by "intellectually". I agree that it's not easy to discover or develop a consistently profitable trading system; but I wouldn't call that sort of difficulty an "intellectual" one, that's all.

Yeah, I think that's semantic point as well. I believe there are many different facets to intelligence, and that it can not be easily defined/measured, etc. But let me ask you this: If you don't attribute discovering/developing a profitable system to intelligence, then to what do you attribute it to? Emotions? That just doesn't make sense to me.

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
Speaking for myself, I have not understood Comenow to say that. But I understand that many people express the views you mention here. And many authors. And many course-sellers. And I completely disgaree with all of them. IMHO the problems far more often lie with the system itself, even if we don't quite agree that that's specifically because it's "intellectually difficult" to come up with them. Anyway, we agree on the more general point that it's not so easy to come up with them. And not so easy to test them out when you "discover" one which you didn't come up with yourself. IMHO that is often because of a lack of education and understanding of the realities of statistics, though, and sometimes because of what one might call an "intellectual laziness", which I suppose - just to make it even more semantic - I am differentiating from a lack of "intellect".

Don't get me wrong, I think that emotions play a big part in trading, and can definitely make or break you - but I don't think they're necessarily the main factor in determining whether or not you're able to be profitable, and I don't think that intellect should be discounted as much as I feel it is by many people, all the time.

Now it's also true that trading is different for everyone, and that what may be difficult for you, may not be difficult for me, and vice versa. Emotions may not be a big factor for me, but they may for you (and vice versa). The same goes for intellect I imagine.
On top of differences due to an individual's personality, it may vary depending upon your trading system/methodology. I may have a largely mechanical strategy - which relies very little, if at all, on emotions. On the other hand, you may use a largely discretionary strategy, in which your ability to control your emotions is a big factor.
The point here is to keep an open mind, and to try to get a better understanding of all this - which is my goal.
I don't think there is any "right" or "wrong" answer here (as people like Comenow would have you believe).


Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
I suppose so. Although one would have to be very bad to spoil something simple and profitable. One would have to be full of one's own beliefs and the desire to "improve" and "adapt" things (i.e. screw them up) and not keep to the rules; one would have to want to "add the parts of something that one likes on to what one already does" or some such nonsense.

Well for example, let's say you had a profitable system, but you could not follow the rules properly because of your emotions. You would close trades early because of fear, take bigger risks then you're supposed to because of greed, and not cut your losses early due to a lack of discipline.
That's a good example of where a bad trader could ruin a good system. I also think it takes much more effort and self control to adhere to a system than it does not to. It's very easy to want to change things or deviate from the system - even though you know you should not.

Now, on the other hand, you could have a trader who executes an unprofitable system perfectly and follows all the rules religiously, but who fails because the system is not profitable. No matter how good a trader they are, they will not be profitable using that system, because the flaw lies within the system, not themselves.


Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
It's too vaguely worded to be accurately debatable, let alone the discussions about how it's measured.

I'm not saying that this statistic is right, just that it's the generally accepted one that is used throughout the industry - at least according to everything I've heard and everyone I've talked to. If you have different figures/statistics, please feel free to share them and/or correct me.

Quote:
Originally posted by JanaSergeevna
But I will let you off this one in case you have better things to do than have a long-winded semantic argument with a pedantic European girl.

Oh, well actually participating in long-winded semantic debates with pedantic European girls is one of my favorite hobbies - especially when the markets are slow.

Good Trading,

Sundance
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Old 21-01-2005, 12:21   #66
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Sundance says that if you have a system that doesn't work, you will fail even if you have good emotional control. No s**t?! The point he misses is this: anyone with an IQ of 90 can get a system that works off the net. If they apply that with rigid disciplne, they will win. It is hilarious for our main man Sundance to say that you won't win with a bad system. That is the most profound thing I have heard in quite a while.
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Old 21-01-2005, 12:25   #67
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Quote:
Originally posted by comenow


My dear man, trading is boring and I write most of this stuff to pass the time while I wait. I neither respect or disrespect your views. I really don't mind them one way or the other. That was why I said a while ago that our discussion was pointless.

Wow, that's sad really...
Well regardless of whether or not you care about what you/others write about, you still should respect their views - that's just basic manners/etiquette.
If you feel a discussion is "pointless", then why participate? Why not just find something else to satisfy your boredom, like a computer game or something, and save the forums for people who actually care about having a worthwhile discussion on a topic that actually means something to themselves and others.
Otherwise, you're just being really rude and disrespectful. But I guess that means nothing to you, so why am I even wasting my time?...

Good Trading,

Sundance
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Old 21-01-2005, 12:32   #68
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Quote:
Originally posted by TheSundanceKid


Wow, that's sad really...
Well regardless of whether or not you care about what you/others write about, you still should respect their views - that's just basic manners/etiquette.
If you feel a discussion is "pointless", then why participate? Why not just find something else to satisfy your boredom, like a computer game or something, and save the forums for people who actually care about having a worthwhile discussion on a topic that actually means something to themselves and others.
Otherwise, you're just being really rude and disrespectful. But I guess that means nothing to you, so why am I even wasting my time?...

Good Trading,

Sundance

I also play chess while I wait. I am really crap at it as well as at trading. Remember when I said that our discussion was pointless, you agreed with me. You could have made at least 50 pips on EUR/JPY if you were not busy getting upset. Cheerio.
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Old 21-01-2005, 12:37   #69
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Quote:
Originally posted by comenow
Sundance says that if you have a system that doesn't work, you will fail even if you have good emotional control. No s**t?! The point he misses is this: anyone with an IQ of 90 can get a system that works off the net. If they apply that with rigid disciplne, they will win. It is hilarious for our main man Sundance to say that you won't win with a bad system. That is the most profound thing I have heard in quite a while.

LOL, Why are you pulling that comment out of context? It was not meant to be "profound" (maybe it was for you), just to help illustrate a point I was making.
You never cease to amaze me comenow...

I disagree with you that anyone can just "find" a profitable system on the net, and be successful with it - provided they apply rigid discipline/emotional control.
Is that what you did? Do you know someone who did this? If not, then I would question your basis for this assumption.
I think it would be extremely rare that someone would be able to do this successfuly and consistently for a number of years. I would love to hear from people that have.
Until then...

Good Trading,

Sundance
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Old 21-01-2005, 12:47   #70
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Quote:
Originally posted by comenow


I also play chess while I wait. I am really crap at it as well as at trading. Remember when I said that our discussion was pointless, you agreed with me. You could have made at least 50 pips on EUR/JPY if you were not busy getting upset. Cheerio.

I like chess too, but I have not played in a while. I don't like playing against a computer, and the only avid chess player I know is my Grandfather, so I don't get to play too often.

BTW, I don't trade EUR/JPY - just the four majors plus AUD and CAD. The only pair I'm still trading today is GBP, all the other pairs' profit objectives for the week have been met - therefore I have plenty of free time to spend getting upset with you.

Next time please let me know in advance if EUR/JPY is about to move at least 50 pips so I can hop on the train too!

Good Trading,

Sundance
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Old 21-01-2005, 13:14   #71
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Quote:
Originally posted by TheSundanceKid


I like chess too, but I have not played in a while. I don't like playing against a computer, and the only avid chess player I know is my Grandfather, so I don't get to play too often.

BTW, I don't trade EUR/JPY - just the four majors plus AUD and CAD. The only pair I'm still trading today is GBP, all the other pairs' profit objectives for the week have been met - therefore I have plenty of free time to spend getting upset with you.

Next time please let me know in advance if EUR/JPY is about to move at least 50 pips so I can hop on the train too!

Good Trading,

Sundance

You can play chess with real people on the net. That GBP trade was nice, wasn't it? Easy money. Getting a system off the net is pretty much what I dd when I strated. Where else do you get this stuff apart from the www and books? I don't know why it should be news that you can learn about indicators from the net. As far as I can tell this forum is on the net. I bet you can learn how to trade from here. Did you go to an fx trading college or something?
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Old 21-01-2005, 14:06   #72
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Quote:
Originally posted by comenow
You can play chess with real people on the net.

Oh, that's cool, I wasn't aware.
I don't know how my opponent would feel if I was constantly taking "breaks" to trade though. Would probably be kind of inconvenient for them I would imagine. However, I think chess would probably be the best game for this though, as there's really no formal time limit to the game (unless you're playing speed chess or something).

Quote:
Originally posted by comenow
That GBP trade was nice, wasn't it? Easy money.

Yes, actually it worked out better than I expected. I got in relatively late (purposely, due to system methodology), and was still surprized on how far and fast it moved. Good thing, considering we don't have much time left this day/week.

Quote:
Originally posted by comenow
Getting a system off the net is pretty much what I dd when I strated. Where else do you get this stuff apart from the www and books? I don't know why it should be news that you can learn about indicators from the net. As far as I can tell this forum is on the net. I bet you can learn how to trade from here. Did you go to an fx trading college or something?

Well I picked up a little from my Dad, who traded equities (stocks) part time, but mostly I'm self taught. I also traded equities for a few years before I started trading FX.

I agree that unless you have had some sort of training in a trading arcade/prop shop type environment, or taken trading seminars, etc, there really is no formal way to learn how to trade. I don't know of any colleges that offer "Trading 101", and I'm not sure how much an economics/finance degree would help you, or how practical it would be.
In fact, maybe the lack of availability of trading education is big contributing factor as to why the majority of people fail at trading in general.
I also think it's true (as you've already stated) that most people look to the internet, trading forums, books, and magazines to learn how to trade and most likely use it as a substitute for a formal education - which is largely unavailable or non-existent at present day, to my knowledge.
It's only natural to assume that they would also create their trading systems/methodology on what they find/learn from these sources as well.
I agree with that - but of course that doesn't mean that the systems they find/create will be profitable. Any imbecile can find or create a trading system on the net - but the real question is: will the system be profitable? Most likely not.
Anyway, how would you even go about determining whether or not your system is profitable. Backtest it? This can work, but we all know about the inherent flaws with backtesting/curve fitting, etc. I can't tell you how many times I've traded a system that performed well on a backtest, but then failed miserably during forward testing, demo trading, or live trading.
Then, even if you have a profitable, tested system, you also have the issue of whether or not the results will be consistent and/or whether or not the system will remain profitable over the short/medium/long-term. There are many other factors/tasks/hurdles/details that go into creating/developing a profitable system - but my point is that I don't consider this long, arduous, difficult process to be intellectually easy as a lot of people say. Even the best/simplest systems will most likely some kind of optimization/tweaking.
I also don't think that profitable trading systems are "a dime a dozen".
Furthermore, to think that you will have a profitable system handed to you on a "silver platter", or that you can just download it from the internet, is just wishful thinking - at best, IMO. If this has happened to anyone, please send me a copy of this system so I can test it out too.

Good Trading,

Sundance

Last edited by TheSundanceKid : 21-01-2005 at 14:16.
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