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Old 08-07-2005, 04:58   #1
Truville
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No set stops

I think yesterday’s trading shows why it is important to remain flexible in your trading sometimes not have set hard stops.

About 20 minutes before the UK explosions I went short Euro thinking to make a quick 15 pips. Suddenly negative 10 negative 20 negative 40! What’s going on here?

Now normally my stop would have been triggered I’d take the loss. But I didn’t this time. Because what I saw was nothing more than panic selling. I absolutely knew that the Euro would turn around it did.

This isn’t cable we are talking about. If I was long cable I would have taken the loss been glad to only lose what I did. But since Euro really was only peripherally involved I felt comfortable in letting it ride.

Euro was up to about –80 at one point then as I expected dropped down down to make my target after all.

In fact I’ll bet a lot of systems had their stops hit triggered a buy had those stops hit too.

I think it is times like these that separate the traders the system. After all what system could have predicted that? But a good trader can evaluate the system act accordingly.

I think that is what we are all striving for really. I’m not saying that one should always move their stop. Of course not. But to allow yourself that flexibility in extraordinary circumstances I think that is what differentiates good traders great.
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Old 08-07-2005, 05:45   #2
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Re: No set stops

Quote:
Originally Posted by Truville
I think yesterday’s trading shows why it is important to remain flexible in your trading sometimes not have set hard stops.

About 20 minutes before the UK explosions I went short Euro thinking to make a quick 15 pips. Suddenly negative 10 negative 20 negative 40! What’s going on here?

Now normally my stop would have been triggered I’d take the loss. But I didn’t this time. Because what I saw was nothing more than panic selling. I absolutely knew that the Euro would turn around it did.

This isn’t cable we are talking about. If I was long cable I would have taken the loss been glad to only lose what I did. But since Euro really was only peripherally involved I felt comfortable in letting it ride.

Euro was up to about –80 at one point then as I expected dropped down down to make my target after all.

In fact I’ll bet a lot of systems had their stops hit triggered a buy had those stops hit too.

I think it is times like these that separate the traders the system. After all what system could have predicted that? But a good trader can evaluate the system act accordingly.

I think that is what we are all striving for really. I’m not saying that one should always move their stop. Of course not. But to allow yourself that flexibility in extraordinary circumstances I think that is what differentiates good traders great.

I would cut loss try take the ride down after the storm is over. I would not go for 15 pips with a draw-down of 80+ even if I felt certain I had to come down. Because nothing is certain in this jungle. Just my oppinion.
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Old 08-07-2005, 11:26   #3
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Re: No set stops

That would be scarey not having a stop. What I did... I got stopped out in the move when the momentum started to turn down I then sold the Eur/Usd again made back what I had lost as well made a boat load more. I could never let that move go with out a stop. I trade to much capital in one trade to let a move that big go against me. The only way to keep moves like that triggering stops would be to trade less capital in that situation would have been place the SL above the high at 1.2118 for June 30. Then you would also be a long term trader which I am not.

In short I would suggest never trading with out a plan. Which means a projected take profit a projected stoploss. If a ship with out a captian can not get out of the harbour how is a trader going to make money with out a plan.
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Old 08-07-2005, 13:24   #4
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Re: No set stops

Yes risking 80 pip for 15 pip target is against money management rules. 2 losses would breakeven or wipe out 10 wins' profit.

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Old 08-07-2005, 14:13   #5
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Re: No set stops

Quote:
Originally Posted by Truville
Because what I saw was nothing more than panic selling. I absolutely knew that the Euro would turn around it did.
You was lucky because it was only panic selling!!! This is the point dear Truville.

However I agree with you about the flexibility thing.
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Old 08-07-2005, 14:51   #6
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Re: No set stops

Each trader has their own set of rules. What works for one may not work for another. I know of a trader who actually cheers when it goes against him because he knows he will be entering again at a better price. His set of rules work for him because he is very very confident of his trades. His daily goal is $20000-$25000. His best day was over $130000 on a spike up while he wasn't watching his computer. Naturally he now has deep pockets is able to trade this way.

Us little guys need to grow with rules that fit/work with us. Truville has been around longer than most is obviously able to trade by his own rules.
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Old 08-07-2005, 16:00   #7
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Re: No set stops

Quote:
Originally Posted by PTB
Us little guys need to grow with rules that fit/work with us.
Perfectly put! Absolutely spot on. Exactly my point concisely said.
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Old 08-07-2005, 17:38   #8
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Re: No set stops

I also had three trades running at that time. Luckily none of them was GPB. I think if it was I would have been stopped out took a loss. I did have fly long stops on all my trades eventually came out for £100 profit.
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