Here we have the chicken and egg situation....
Bear in mind that technical trading is based on charts that reflect HISTORICAL price movements.
Personally I would not ignore fundamentals, especially when (as you pointed out) the market is more interested on the odds on war than if trendlines have been broken, witness today's U turn in the Euro.
Use both to complement each other, because the technical readings will show you where bids, offers and stops are most likely to be. .. The euro just hit a base at 1.0817 ... also the low in Asian trading on Tuesday morning(overnight). If the euro moves lower keep an eye on 1.0765/70 area, right now it's a bit ovrsold and Powell is wrapping up so less chance of any further surprises.
