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21-12-2006, 04:07
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#1
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for December 21, 2006
CHF
Preplanned pair return to the channel guideline “1” range was confirmed, but some exceeding of precalculated limits and also relative growth of bullish counteraction up to the level of parties parity did not dispose to immediate realization of preplanned sales. Basing on that and taking into account logical incompleteness of bullish development, we assume a possibility of continuation of key channel line “1” storm, but after pair return to support range 1.2110/30, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.2160/80, 1.2200/20 and (or) further breakout up to1.2260/80, 1.2300/20. Alternative for sales will be lower than 1.2100 with targets 1.2040/60, 1.1990/1.2110.>>
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GBP
The pre-planned break-out variant for sales was realized, but without attainment of the minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator having marked relative growth of sales activity and thus determining logical incompleteness of bullish development “supports” perspectives of further pair fall to the precalculated minimal levels 1.9580/1.9600, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For buys (closing short positions), on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.9660/80, 1.9700/20 and (or) further breakout up to 1.9760/80, 1.9800/20. Alternative for renewal of sales will be lower than 1.9550 with target 1.9480/1.9500, 1.9400/20.>>
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JPY
The pre-planned break-out variant for buyers was realized , and attainment of pre-planned targets is “supported” by OsMA indicator through the shown relative growth of bullish activity and current weakness of bearish counteraction. Basing on that, we assume a possibility of pair return to support range 118.20/30, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 118.50/60 and (or) further breakout up to 119.00/20, 119.60/80. Alternative for sales will be under 117.40 with targets 117.30/50.>>
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EUR
The assumed test of key support range in the level of channel guideline “5” was supported, but shown by OsMA indicator relative growth of bearish counteraction to the level of parties’ activity parity was not a positive moment for realization of pre-planned buys. Basing on that, we have grounds for assumption of possible side range movement of the pair without distinctness in respect of key support on account of incompleteness of bearish development. In the existing situation with the regard for the bullish sign of the indicator chart, we ssume pair return to the range 1.3200/20, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.3140/60, 1.3080/1.3100 and (or) further breakout lower than 1.3060 with target 1.3000/20, 1.2960/80. Alternative for buyers will be higher that 1.3260 with target 1.3300/20, 1.3360/80.>>
>  >
www..com
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22-12-2006, 04:09
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#2
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for December 22, 2006CHF>>
>>
Assumed test of key range for realization of pre-planned buys was not confirmed, bu an attempt of next test of channel guideline “1” and subsequent reaction of bears did not give arguments in favour of planning priority choice for today. Basing on that, we assume a possibility of pair movement in side range of 1.2120/2200, which may be grounds for planning short-term operations in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For regular hours a break out is logical for buyers over 1.2220 with target 1.2260/80, 1.2300/20 and for sales under 1.2080 with target 1.2020/40, 1.1960/80.>>
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GBP>>
Short positions opened earlier have attained assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator having marked the attainment of key support range with formation of topping bullish signal did not show confirming power of buyers’ activity as for perspectivity of planned buyers positions. At present, having some bearish advantage conserved, and also bullish sign of indicator chart, we assume a possibility of pair return to range 1.9650/70, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.9600/20, 1.9540/60 and (or) further breakout up to 1.9480/1.9500, 1.9420/40. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.9700 with target 1.9750/70, 1.9800/20.>>
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JPY>>
The assumed continuation of pair growth for open buyers’ positions was not confirmed, and further relative growth of sales activity in the framework of parties’ parity was logical for probable pair range movement without distinctness in planning priority choice in the analysed working period of the chart. In the existing situation, as we have some effect of conservation of bearish advantrage, we assume the possibility of support test 118.00/10, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 118.40/60 and (or) further breakout up to 119.00/20, 119.60/80. Alternative for sales will be under 117.80 with targets 117.40/50.>>
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EUR>>
The pre-planned sales of key resistance levels range were realized with attainment of minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the test of channel support “5” with formation of topping bullish signal did not have confirming continuation in development of buyers’ activity, but also general conservation of parties activity parity does not give convincing arguments in favour of planning priority choice for today. Basing on that, we assume the possibility of pair movement in 1.3120-1.3220 range for planning short-term trade operations in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For regular hours a break out is logical for buyers over 1.3260 with target 1.3300/20, 1.3340/60 and for sales under 1.3060 with target 1.3000/20, 1.2960/80.>>
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27-12-2006, 03:45
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#3
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for December 27, 2006ffice ffice" />>>
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CHF>>
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Assumed pair movement in pre-calculated price range was confirmed with negative moment of short-term break-out of boundary resistance level. OsMA trend indicator having marked this fact with formation of topping bearish signal with subsequent activity “support” from the sales part gives grounds for assumptions in respect of the attainment of second boundary level of support range 1.2100/20, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.2160/80, 1.2220/40 and (or) further break-out variant up to >>
1.2280/1.2300, 1.2340/60. Alternative for sales will be under 1.2080 with target 1.2020/40, 1.1960/80.>>
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Pre-planned sales from key range of channel guideline “5” were realized with attainment of assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the test of channel support “4” with formation of topping bullish signal, confirmed the choice correctness of channel guidelines and at present with consideration of continuation of development period of buyer’s activity, we assume the probability of attainment of range 1,9670/90, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-time sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.9620/40, 1.9540/60, 1.9490/1.9500 and (or) further breakout up to 1.9410/1.9430. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.9710 with target 1.9750/70, 1.9800/20.>>
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The assumed break-out variant for buyers was realized with attainment of minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the test of channel guideline “4” with a sign of overbought condition of the pair with further growth of sales activity gives grounds to assume the probable attainment of channel support “2” in 118.20/40 range, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 118.80/119.00, 119.20/30 and (or) further breakout up to 119.70/90, 120.30/50. Alternative for sales will be under 117.95 with targets 117.30/50, 116,90/117,00.>>
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The assumed movement in the pre-calculated price range was confirmed with some more powerful than expected expansion from the sales party. At present, taking into consideration the parity conservation of bullish counteraction party activity in development stage, we assume the attainment of second boundary level of assumed side movement 1.3180/1.3200 of the pair, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-time sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.3130/50, 1.3065/85 and (or) further breakout down to 1.3000/20, 1.2920/40. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.3260 with targets 1.3300/20, 1.3360/80.>>
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> With respect,>
> Penguin >
>3w.,com>
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28-12-2006, 02:53
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#4
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Re: Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for December 28, 2006
ffice ffice" />>>
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CHF>>
>> Assumed test of key support range for pre-planned buys was not confirmed, and further expected growth of the rate did not show distinctness in respect of buyers’ advantage as for the perspective of bullish break-out. In the existing situation, as OsMA trend indicator keeps the parties activity parity, we assume the possibility of pair return to support 1.2210/30, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.2270/90, 1.2320/40 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1.2380/1.2400, 1.2420/40. Alternative for sales will be under 1.2190 with target 1.2120/40, 1.2060/80.>>
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Expected test of channel guideline “5” was not confirmed, and further fall of parties activity in the framework of short-term descending channel (blue dotted line) gives grounds to assume the preservation of corrective bearish trend, but with a risk of break–out to the peak of the current month. Basing on that, at present short term sales are logical with targets 1.9520/40, 1.9460/80, 1.9400/20. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.9640 with targets 1.9680/1.9700, 1.9740/60, 1.9800/20.>>
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>> The pre-planned buys from key support “2” were realized with attainment of minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator did not mark the result of initial bullish development with >>
Convincingness of bullish development, thus excluding the reasonableness of keeping open long positions for longer period. However, taking into account the fact of preservation of remanent bearish advantage, we assume the probability of pair return to the guideline “2” to support range 118.40/50 range, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 118.80/119.00, 119.20/30 and (or) further breakout up to 119.70/90. Alternative for sales will be under 118.20 with targets 117.60/80, 117.00/20.>>
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The assumed test of pre-calculated range of support levels 1.3180/1.3200 for pre-planned sales was not confirmed, but also further expected rate fall did not receive signs of convincing bearish development as for the perspective to reach month “Low” point. Basing on that we assume the probability of repeated attempt of channel guideline “6” test in 1.3160/80, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-time sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.3100/20, 1.3060/80 and (or) further breakout down to 1.3000/20, 1.2960/80. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.3200 with targets 1.3240/60, 1.3280/1.3300.>>
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> Regards,>
> Penguin >
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29-12-2006, 03:25
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#5
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for December 29, 2006ffice ffice" />>>
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CHF>>
Pre-planned break-out variant for sales was realized, and attainment of assumed targets is “supported” with shown by OsMA indicator progress of bearish development and weakness of bullish counteraction reaction. Basing on that it is logical to assume the attainment of channel support “3” in 1.2110/30 range, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.2160/80, 1.2200/20 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1.2260/80, 1.2300/20. Alternative for renewal of sales will be under 1.2080 with target 1.2000/20, 1.1960/80.>>
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Preplanned break-out variant for buyers was realized, and attainment of assumed targets is “supported” preservation of relative bullish advantage, but meanwhile with negative moment of lack of progress in its development. Basing on that, we assume the probability of attainment of minimal targets for open buys in 1.9680/1.9700 range, , where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-time sales (closing of buys), on condition of formation of topping signals and weakness of bullish development level, targets will be 1.9600/20, 1.9570/90 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1.9510/30, 1.9460/80. Alternative for renewal of buys will be over 1.9700 with targets 1.9760/80, 1.9820/40.>>
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The pre-planned buys from key support range were realized with attainment of minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the fact that pair is overbought and lack of convincingness of bullish counteraction reaction, does not bring distinctness in respect of planning priority choice for today. Basing on short-term development perspective and only on descending direction of indicator chart, we assume the probability of support range 118.50/60 test, where it is recommended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short time buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 119.00/20, and (or) further breakout up to 119.60/80. Alternative for sales will be under 118.30 with targets 117.60/80, 117.00/20.>>
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The assumed test of channel guideline “6” was confirmed, but relatively high level of bullish development, shown by OsMA trend indicator, did not dispose to realization of pre-planned sales. Short-time break-out of descending channel line “6” and further pair return to the limits of channel version did not show convincingness of bearish counteraction, which gives grounds to assume the probable break-out of channel guideline “6” and attainment of 1.3200/20 range without further distinctness of pair development. In existing situation, having now a risk of active break-out of channel support, we have a brak-out variant “du jour” for sales under 1.3120 with targets 1.3060/80, 1.3000/20. Alternative for buyers will be over 1.3220 with targets 1.3260/80, 1.3320/40.>>
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> Regards,>
> Penguin>
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11-01-2007, 06:06
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#6
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for January 11, 2007CHFPre-planned buys from key support range were realized with covering of minimal assumed target. OsMA trend indicator, having preserved parties activity parity, continues to “support” the probability of continuation of existing bullish trend, but with a risk of high dynamics of rate restoration in the framework of ascending channel “1-2” version. Basing on that, and also bearish sign of indicator chart, we assume the probability of pair return to support range 1.2410/30, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1,2460/80, 1,2500/20 and(or) further break-out variant to 1.2560/80, 1.2600/20. Alternative for sales will be lower 1,2390 with targets 1.2340/60, 1.2290/1.2310.GBPExpectations as for pair return to the range 1.9460/80 were not confirmed, but further drop of parties activity does not bring distinctness in the priority planning choice for today. Basing on that, as earlier, we suggest the probability of rate correction period in tight range with pair return to 1.9360/80 range, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short term sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.9300/20, 1.9260/80 and(or) further break-out variant to 1.9200/20, 1.9140/60, 1.9080/1.9100. Alternative for buyers will be higher 1.9420 with targets 1.9460/80, 1.9500/20. JPYPre-planned break-out variant for buyers was realized, and attainment off minimal assumed target, though minimally, but is “supported” by OsMA trend indicator – its ascending direction and unconvincingness of bearish counteraction after the test of this month’s High level. For open buys we recommend to keep protective stops lower 119.60 with transfer into no-loss zone after attainment of level 120.20 and higher. Alternative for sales will be lower 119.40 with targets 118.80/119.00. EURPre-planned reservation of bearish trend of pair development was confirmed, but without expected rate correction for for realization pf pre-planned short-term sales. OsMA trend indicator continues to keep parties activity parity, thus “supporting” assumptions of keeping probable low dynamics of rate fall, but with a risk of bullish break-out higher channel guideline “3”. Basing on that and also bullish sign of indicator chart, and for minimizing the risk of probable situation change in buyer’s favor, as earlier, we assume the probability of pair return to resistance range 1.3010/30, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.2940/60, 1.2890/1.2910 and (or) further break-out variant to 1.2830/50, 1.2780/1.2800. Alternative for buys will be higher 1.3110 with targets 1.3160/80, 1.3200/1.3220. Regards,Penguin
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12-01-2007, 05:15
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#7
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for January 12, 2007ffice ffice" />>>
CHF>>
Pre-planned buys from key support range were realized with attainment of basic assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator did not mark next test and break-out of channel guideline “2” with convincingness of bullish development, thus preserving parties activity parity and probability of side range movement of the pair in the nearest outlook. Basing on that, and also descending direction of indicator chart, we assume the probability of pair return to support range 1.2450/60, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.2500/20, and(or) further break-out variant to 1.2560/80, 1.2600/20. Alternative for sales will be lower 1.2400 with targets 1.2340/60, 1.2280/1.2300, 1.2220/40.
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>> > GBP >
Pre-planned break-ot variant for buyers was realized with attainment of assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked relative strengthening of buyers’ activity on the background of enduring unconvincingness of sales activity development, gives grounds for the buyers priority planning choice for today. Basing on that and also bearish sign of indicator chart, we assume the probability of pair return to support range 1.9380/1.9400, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.9460/80, 1.9520/40 and(or) further break-out variant to 1.9600/20. Alternative for sales will be lower 1.9360 with targets 1.9300/20, 1.9240/60, 1.9190/1.9210.
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JPY>>
Opened earlier buyers’ positions have attained assumed targets, and marked by OsMA trend indicator progress of bullish activity gives grounds fot the buyers’ priority choice for today. Basing on that, and also bearish sign of indicator chart, we assume the probability of rete correction to support range 120.30/40, , where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For buys,, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 120.70/90, 121.20/40 and(or) further break-out variant to 121.80/122.00. Alternative for sales will be lower 120.00 with targets 119.40/60, 118.90/119.10. >>
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> EUR>
Pre-planned sales from key resistance level range were realized with covering of basic assumed tatrget. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the test of channel support «4» with relative strengthening of sales activity, nevertheless, preserves approximate parity of parties activity, thus proposing the continuation of existing trend with probable continuation of channel guideline “4” storm. Basing on that and also ascending direction of indicator chart, we assume the probability of pair return to 1.2910/30 range, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.2860/80 and (or) further break-out variant to 1.2800/20, 1.2760/80. Alternative for buyers will be higher 1.2960 with targets 1.3000/20.
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15-01-2007, 05:53
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#8
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Daily technical analysis from FOREX LTD
Technical analysis for January 15, 2007ffice ffice" />>>
CHF>>
Pre-planned test of key support range was confirmed , bet relative strengthening of bearish counteraction, shown while testing pre-calculated levels , did not provide for immediate realization of preplanned buys. At present, basing on the general picture of preservation of parties activity parity, we assume the probability of rate range movement period with continuation of of some pair lowering to levels 1.2420/40, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.2480/1.2500, 1.2520/30, and(or) further break-out variant to 1.2570/90, 1.2620/40. Alternative for sales will be lower 1.2370 with targets 1.2300/20, 1.2260/80.>>
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Pre-planned break-ot variant for buyers was realized with attainment of assumed targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the fact that pair is overbought, on the background of lack of convincing reaction of bearish counteraction, gives frounds for choosing bullish planning priority choice for today. Basing on that and also descending direction of indicator chart, we assume the probability of pair return sapport range 1.9510/30, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term buys, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 1.9590/1.9610, 1.9620/40 and(or) further break-out variant to 1.9680/1.9700. Alternative for sales will be lower 1.9480 with targets 1.9400/20, 1.9360/80, 1.9190/1.9210.>>
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Pre-planned test of key support range was confirmed, but relative progress of bearish activity did not provide for immediate realization of pre-planned purchases. Further development of events with break of trend line of short-term ascending channel (black dotted line) did not recive convincing continuation of bearish development, and general existing situation of parties’ activity parity gives grounds for assumptions of probable pair side movement period. Basing on that, and also ascending direction of indicator chart, we assume the probability of test of previously attained highs in 120.60/80 range , where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, target will be 120.00/20, 119.70/80 and(or) further break-out variant to 119.10/30. Alternative for buyers will be higher 121.00 with targets 121.40/60. >>
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Pre-planned sales from key resistance level range were realized with attainment of basic assumed target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked the parties’ activity parity, as a result of last trade session, gives grounds for assumptions of probable pair side movement for today. Basing on that and also bullish sign of indicator chart, we assume the probability of test of resistance levels range 1.2970/90, where it is recomended to evaluate development of parties activity in accordance with shorter time interval charts. For short-term sales, on condition of formation of topping signals, targets will be 1.2900/20, 1.2860/80 and (or) further break-out variant to 1.2800/20. Alternative for buyers will be higher 1.30303 with targets 1.3070/90, 1.3120/40.>>
>>
Regards,
Penguin
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