Guys, the answers to this question is as simple as it is complicated. Let me try to give a few reasons why, then maybe you can realise what you have to work against.
First of all - so who the hell am I that I can speak . . . .
I have up to recently personally trained 1239 traders in the basics of trading. At some stage the training became too demanding on my time, and handed over the trader-base to two of my best traders and allowed myself to focus on a group of live traders who committed themselved to my disciplines and trading systems for mentorship. I have in the process seen over 600 of these traders go throught he processes of victory and defeat. During this time I used my skills in Human Behaviour Science and Psychology to study and monitor the traders as they go through the various stages of development, constantly looking for ways to increase the success-rates of these traders.
Doing this I have come to a few of many explanations and conclusions on why traders sometime make it and sometimes not. Please remember that in listing but a few of these reasons, that this list does not condemn one to failure, but should lead one to understand what it takes to preserve capital, and in the odd occasion make a fortune.
I do not believe that there is any reason someone cannot make a lot of money in this market. I have seen 13 and 14 year-olds come and do training with me, take a $ 3 000 account and double it consistently for a while until they become rocket scientists, just to loose it all. Then they come back for further training, I force them to subscribe to a simple discipline, see them go away and again go through the process of making good money. Then - they go into rocket scence again just to loose it all - again . . .
Essentially, it is not about understanding the market, or about being special in some or other way that will make you a successful trader. Anyone has the potential to be successful. The question is - then why does 90% of traders that had exactly the same training as the winning 10%, using the same trading systems, methodologies and tools, not make it?
It is a question of being . . . Who are you, and how do you respond to any given market movement.
Explain something to me - I teach a few simple trading systems. I then also spend a lot of time teaching the Psychology and Disciplines of trading. By the time the traders leave the classroom to trade, all of them have exactly the same training and information allowing them to trade. Then I send them out with a simple instruction. Go and trade only when you see the occurrance of a certain set of signals. Nothing else. The group will leave and all go and only trade the signals I ask for. A month later they would come back to me with more or less the same results. Now everybody is all fired up and ready to go live. Then you draw them into a classroom for a week to trade the same trading system live for the first time. After a week of trading under supervision they again get more and more excited.
Then you send them home to trade on their own. Immediately they fall into one of two groups, 90% that fails, and looses their money, and 10% that makes it. Why is that.
Investigation through a process of mentorship will show you that those that loose money altered the Trading Discipline and System. They became rocket scientists going through various processes of research and investigation to try and find that one indicator that would make the trading system more successfull, cut the losses shorter etc. etc. Sadly, before they realise, they have depleated their trading capital and has lost faith in their ability to trade.
There was a time when I was severely critisized for the fact that so many traders seem to loose money. To prove the point I invited 30 of these tradres to come and trade with me for a month in a training centre. I spend 3 days, de-briefing them, getting rid of everyone's annoying need to introduce a new winning Indicator to my tools. Once we had consensus on the trading system, I had everyone run the trading system for 3 days on
demo, just to grow confidence levels in the system. Then, we spend 2 days developing the environmental disciplines in maintaining a disciplined trading environment where all signals are caught. And then we went live, each trader making his own trading decisions. We doubled all active accounts within 15 days.
We did not allow anyone to discuss any other trading methodologies and systems. We did not allow the infiltration of fundamentals or trading calls on the internet. We only traded the simple system.
Then I sent them home - those that maintained the discipline still trade well today. Those that didn't - either stopped or are still battling for survival as we speak.
The answer is as simple as it is complicated. There are a few individuals that Psycologically and mentally have the ability to subscribe to a simple trading discipline. They can maintain that discipline, and structure their trading environment in such a way that their trading disciplines remain intact. This breeds a certain familiarity with specific market conditions that suddenly make them one with the market. They feel the thrust when it happens, they understand the dangers and they know how to react - this only comes with time as one trades the market with a consistent and constant discipline.
There are many other contributing factors like poor money management, risk control and even some profiles that are simply to careless and daring in their approach to ever make it in the market. I have also found many traders that trade without ever having done training with a reputable and professional organisation. They unfortunately add to the great number of traders that fail, and then blame the market.
The fact remains - I always say - if I can only get traders to settle down and buckle down I can get them to make money. There is no such thing as a loosing trader - only inconsistent, rebellious and reckless ones . . . .