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06-01-2005, 13:41
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#1
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The secret forex trading system
First of all, there are NO secret systems in Forex or any freely traded market. The market either moves up, down or sideways. It is either a trending market or a ranging market.
Any trading system or any secret "members only" entry program is just a series and/or a combination of indicators ie: MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Moving Averages etc etc etc. to give you an entry into the market with an effective batting average of winning 6,7,8 out of 10 trades. No system is perfect.
The best time to trade the forex market in North America is - during the European time zone (approx. midnite until 8AM) and/or the US EST time zone. To trade effectively, you have to be there to track the market, so, your red eyeball is stuck on your computer screen from - midnight until 9AM-10AM the following morning waiting for a possible signal for a trade entry. Sometimes, you can be up all nite - the market does not move and thus there are no trades. Result: You were up all nite and nothing happens. You make $0.
Once the new "state of the art", never been seen before, propritiary trading system or any other indicator/entry program tells you to enter the market - at say... 3AM or 5AM or 8AM, you patiently wait until then to manually enter the market.
Once you are in the market. You babysit the trade. You minimize losses and maximize profit. Easier said then done. 6-7-8 of 10 trades are winners and thus 2-3-4 of 10 trades are losers. a real crap shoot. The pain starts when you enter a market and you lose money. You have a predetermined loss built in and at times, you tearfully watch the screen as the market races to your stoploss of $400-$500.
You are out $500 and go to sleep. The next day, you try again. To make a living and to survive trading, you have to make up for the $500 loss the night before AND make an additional $500 to $1000 to have a positive $$ result. That is a turn around of $1000 to $1500 with no guarantee. Negative -$500 to a +$500. If you lose again the following trading day... well.
The smart money is in Marketing a trading strategy. Internet marketing is not a zero-sum game. It is win-win. You sell a product of value, the buyer gets value... you get paid. If you want to make money in trading, sell a effective trading program. That is the same theory during the California gold rush. The marketer who sold the picks, shovels, equipment to mine the gold as well as the industrial grade alcohol to fuel the drive are the ones that got rich. Not the gold miners who went into the mountains to find nothing.
Trading the forex, stocks commodity markets is a vicious cycle where only the selected 2% with a large payroll and cushion make enough money to survive in the long term.
Last edited by mika : 06-01-2005 at 13:47.
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06-01-2005, 16:14
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#2
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level 1
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not true.
everybody starts somewhere.
Natural progression would be short term and gradually increasing to long term.
people trade the markets and always have. So what changed??
nothing thats y there are patterns. If you study and have rules and stick to them it is not a zero sum game
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06-01-2005, 16:29
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#3
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level 3
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Re: The secret forex trading system
Quote:
Originally posted by mika Once the new "state of the art", never been seen before, propritiary trading system or any other indicator/entry program tells you to enter the market ...
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It's an absolutely wonderful sort of trading system, and it really _ought_ to be in the dictionary: it's a cross between a 'propitious' system and a 'proprietory' one - and we could all do with that! 
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06-01-2005, 22:08
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#4
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level 1
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Anyone want to take a guess as to who blew his account? 
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06-01-2005, 23:13
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#5
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Banned
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Quote:
Originally posted by Cliff1125
Anyone want to take a guess as to who blew his account?
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Mika?
s
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07-01-2005, 01:43
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#6
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I have not used my own money to trade some of these entry programs that are "out of the box". Paper trading provides an accurate reflection of what a trading program or indicator program offers. Along with backtesting, I've tried a series of these programs - some offering free trials and others a small monthly fee.
The point of my thread is there is no holy grail trading system unless you develop your own. Some may work and others won't, but in the long term they fail. Technically they may be good trading systems but you end up blaming the originator of the program that his program/system/indicator is poor. Thus, the point was, if you have to rely on someone else to give you buy/sell signals, you will lose and will not be a successful trader. The best system is one that you invent for yourself.
Here are my systems that I altered for my trading style and temperment:
Trade system #1:
I use a variation of the famous Bunny Cross
Indicators:
30min chart
5wma, 20wma cross
ATR set at 14
Enter buy/sell at 2x ATR
Stop at 2ATR
Target at 2ATR
Trade when European market opens.
Trade system #2 (For quite markets)
This is a variation of the Turtle trade adapted for the forex market
1hr chart
Buy/Sell at 20 bar breakout or
30min chart
Buy/Sell at 55 bar breakout
ATR 14
Enter market once market breaks after 20 or 55 bars at 1.5ATR.
Setup pyramid entries as per turtle trading rules, but keep at 3 pyramid trades
Set stops at 2ATR
Exit market at 5wma 20wma cross
I use real money to trade systems #1 and System #2.
The point of my original thread was that there are alot of programs and systems out there promising a 60,70,80% win rate. If you have to rely on someone else to give you entrys and exits. In the long run, you will not win.
Last edited by mika : 07-01-2005 at 02:49.
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07-01-2005, 02:12
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#7
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Banned
Join Date: Nov 2004
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Quote:
Originally posted by mika
I have not used my own money to trade some of these entry programs that are "out of the box". Paper trading provides an accurate reflection of what a trading program or indicator program offers. Along with backtesting, I've tried a series of these programs - some offering free trials and others a small monthly fee.
The point of my thread is there is no holy grail trading system unless you develop your own. Some may work and others won't, but in the long term they fail. Technically they may be good trading systems but you end up blaming the originator of the program that his program/system/indicator is poor. Thus, the point was, if you have to rely on someone else to give you buy/sell signals, you will lose and will not be a successful trader. The best system is one that you invent for yourself.
Here are my systems that I altered for my trading style and temperment:
Trade system #1:
I use a variation of the famous Bunny Cross
Indicators:
30min chart
5wma, 20wma cross
ATR set at 14
Enter buy/sell at 2x ATR
Stop at 2ATR
Target at 2ATR
Trade when European market opens.
Trade system #2 (For quite markets)
This is a variation of the Turtle trade adapted for the forex market
1hr chart
Buy/Sell at 20 bar breakout or
30min chart
Buy/Sell at 55 bar breakout
ATR 14
Enter market once market breaks after 20 or 55 bars at 1.5ATR.
Setup pyramid entries as per turtle trading rules, but keep at 3 pyramid trades
Set stops at 2ATR
Exit market at 5wma 20wma cross
I use real money to trade systems #1 and System #2.
The point of my original thread was that there are alot of programs and systems out there promising a 60,70,80% win rate. If you have to rely on someone else to give you entrys and exits. In the long run, you will not win.
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True!  And, if you have to rely on someone else, why not just have that person trade your account so you can go on with your life?
Sam
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07-01-2005, 02:59
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#8
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Forex Guru
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 763
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This is the point..!
Not all people can trade, only few of them can do this tough job successfully.
So, don't play 2 sides. Either have an edge (techanically and emotinally) and use it to make money or leave this job to others to make you money.
The key is to know yourself first.
Hani 
__________________
Hani
As we sail through life . . .
. . . We face storms and deep waters
We have to accept and pass'em . . .
. . . Caz.calm seas never make skillful sailors
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