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Old 23-05-2005, 07:40   #1
Trendz
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Speculative Positioning in the Majors

Hey, can anyone provide a reliable link of the speculative positioning in the majors every day or at least once a week? ie. Net long or net short. dailyfx.com provides a nice discussion on this once every week or two weeks. I would like to be able to monitor this on day to day basis if possible.

Thanks for any help
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Old 23-05-2005, 14:49   #2
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

http://www.cftc.gov/cftc/cftccotreports.htm

The above link will provide the most up to date information regarding speculative positions in the futures market on a weekly basis. You will need look at the CME report, since this is the exchange where fx futures trade. Just to clarify, the spec futures positions are thought to mirror that of the spot market, so this info is very useful.
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Old 24-05-2005, 08:10   #3
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

Thanks for the link but unfortunately those are still delayed. Still showing may17. I saw on cnbc speculative dollar longs are the highest in a couple of years yesterday. Good enough reason why dollar is selling off right now..
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Old 24-05-2005, 13:26   #4
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trendz
Thanks for the link but unfortunately those are still delayed. Still showing may17. I saw on cnbc speculative dollar longs are the highest in a couple of years yesterday. Good enough reason why dollar is selling off right now..

I think the IMM only formally release theirs once a week (which is why all the links you can find on the net will usually be stale). I don't know of anywhere available to retail traders where this info is available daily. If I find such a site I'll post it. Maybe the IMM / CME's own site has it. Never tried looking there. Might be the obvious place to start.

GJ
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Old 24-05-2005, 13:39   #5
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

Yes, i guess that kind of information will want to be kept from the retail trader for good enough reason.
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Old 24-05-2005, 19:27   #6
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

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Originally Posted by Trendz
Yes, i guess that kind of information will want to be kept from the retail trader for good enough reason.

What reason is that? Some ludicrous conspiracy theory? Jeez give us a break.

The reason the IMM don't release that data daily is more likely because there's no demand for it that regularly. Weekly is just about long enough to show substantive changes. You could look at that data every day, or even in real time if you like, but it wouldn't really tell you anything. It's the sort of data where you have to pull back a bit and try to see the bigger picture. Whatching the spec interest change by 50 lots here and there means absolutely nothing, but seeing EUR shorts go from -2000 to -22000 in a week IS meaningful.

Accept it, sometimes less is more.

My $0.02

GJ
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Old 25-05-2005, 04:19   #7
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

Take a chill pill man. I never said anything about monitoring it intraday. I would just like the previous day's data, and it does make a difference IMO. If a serious breakout occurs on a monday net shorts/longs could increase substantially in one day. If the data is then released next week, thats pretty useless to me isnt it?

The reality is that when everyone piles into the trade one way like what happened on friday with a strong dollar rally the smart money sees this and reverses the gains swallowing a whole chunk of retail traders. Your conspiracy theory is not so ludicrous is it?

And btw, who do u work for?
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Old 25-05-2005, 04:41   #8
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Re: Speculative Positioning in the Majors

I can accept the report published weekly, however in my opinion, I will be happy to see it just on Tue instead of three days' later. Or if CFTC changes to publish every Fri's statistical result of IMM in the weekend, I will appreciate it more.

The frequency of publication is acceptable, but the three days' lag is a joke. As you know, most large market-movers (economic data or events) are released from Wed to Fri, I don't think to read a report of IMM position distribution before the three days in the weekend is much helpful.
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