Quote:
|
Originally Posted by KellyFX
LOL this statistic 90% traders lose myth is rubbish, it’s a way to lore newbie traders into believing the one giving this 90% statistic is credibility and that he or she is in the 10%, where dose this statistic come from other then word of month? Is there any repeatable agency researching it?
|
To a large degree, the number is derived from Brokerage houses, equities mainly, which keep track of how many of their customers go broke. During the great day-trading craze of the 90's, an absurd number of people opened up accounts. I once knew the number, but can't recall it exactly, but the cumulative dollar value of those accounts was into billions. The vast majority of those accounts were blown out in short periods. An interesting fact was that a fairly common occurrence was to have an account go from say $3,000 to $300 and all activity would stop, never to be traded again. People just can't accept failure very well.
The houses are really the only hard source of this type of info, the rest is just word of mouth. But I tend to believe that the vast majority of folks lose because it's an endeavor that doesn't lend itself very well to more taking money than those putting it in. Logically, the majority are going to lose if you really think about it.
Given that most professions only have a handful of people that are very successful, why should trading be any different? Of course, there is a massive difference between trading and other professions. In most jobs, most people can be just adequate, and even have periods of being downright useless while still retaining their job. That won't happen in trading. The markets severely punish the mediocre and destroy the incompetent.
Finally, given the fact that half the people in the world are below average, is it any surprise at all that the majority fail in an endeavor that rewards only the extremely talented?