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Old 29-06-2003, 13:31   #1
4xis2ez
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eur/usd cycle analysis chart for week of July 6

Image below is the cycle analysis for the week of July 6. Chart uses 2 hour bars. The # 1 low is about 0:00 July 7. All times are Eastern USA. I compared hsitorical charts with the gbp/usd pair and the cycle pattern below works with gbp/usd also. If you trade usd/chf, you can invert the rotation on this chart and that will work ( # 1 will be a high ).

The cycle analysis is not perfect but can give you the approximate timing of swing highs and lows and the duration of swings.

The market is not random, I can deterimne this cycle action for any future week you desire as long as I have certain dates available. If you wanted the chart for 50 weeks from now I can do that. The cycle simply repeats over certain time periods which will remain a trade secret.
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Old 03-07-2003, 20:12   #2
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Feel free to download the bmp file below to use for your trading or analysis. I hopefully will be working shortly on cycle charts using 15 minute bars. I am waiting for software and data.

I deleted the above bmp file download as it was over 900k. The bmp file below is about 55k and a cleaner looking chart.

Last edited by 4xis2ez : 06-07-2003 at 15:16.
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Old 06-07-2003, 13:39   #3
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Cleaner download chart

Here is a bmp file of eur/usd chart that is smaller than the above bmp and cleaner looking too.
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File Type: bmp eur 2 hour july6 bmp.bmp (55.4 KB, 21 views)
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Old 06-07-2003, 15:10   #4
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Looking at a longer term cycle, there is/was a low on July 5. The next high is due July11. These are not particularly accurate, but anyway I am having bullish bias for eur/usd this week, although I will not hesitate to do a short trade.
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Old 07-07-2003, 10:21   #5
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It appears the 2 high came quite early, indicating potential for more weakness. As of this writing, there is a small rally occuring. I would look to sell when price turns over on 15 minute charts for another wave down to the 3 low due 16:00 eastern USA. (20:00 GMT).
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Old 07-07-2003, 11:04   #6
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I sold at 1.1345. Stop at 1.1363. Initial profit at 1.1305.
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Old 07-07-2003, 11:08   #7
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Good to see your call, mate. I wish you the very best luck!
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Old 07-07-2003, 11:36   #8
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Thanks Rezo,
One problem with this type of analysis is that early turn points cannot be anticipated. But when they happen it could be a sign of a relatively large move.
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