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Old 16-05-2008, 11:29   #6697
pelle64
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Re: Sell Eur/Usd

Lets see if 1.5710<>40 can be the reversal point
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Old 16-05-2008, 12:33   #6698
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Re: Sell Eur/Usd

I see that eur/usd didnt penetrate 5600 and a daylie stop below can be a reverse signal im out of that trade and will not enter again without a break of that 5600 level!!

So am waiting for a breakout OR a retest that fails

Usd/jpy is between 105.69 res and the upcomming trendline wich can signal a reverse and if the usd/jpy is heading north the eur/usd wery often go south so lets jump of the market, take a drink in the sofa and WAIT

Have a nice weekend all my friend in here
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Last edited by pelle64 : 16-05-2008 at 12:41.
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Old 16-05-2008, 13:53   #6699
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Re: Sell Eur/Usd

that's perhaps the better choice pelle.
it's currency options/futures expiration day and those usually mark a fractal on the charts. what's notable is that for years the those dates were the second week of the month and now they changed to the third week. however it seems some computer trading systems and traders that have picked up that relationship keep behaving same way and we see the f/o expiration behavior in both second and third weeks. 5600-50 is the key.
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Last edited by Speculator : 16-05-2008 at 13:57.
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Old 16-05-2008, 14:28   #6700
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Re: Sell Eur/Usd

Thanks Speculator, i hope we can continue to give eachother advice, do u mind to post a chart and Noor post charts if u want u and Iris is the best on this so i realy want to see your charts to learn more....

Pelle
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Old 16-05-2008, 15:00   #6701
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Re: Sell Eur/Usd

a constant break of 5552 confirms a short time south reversal am short from now (5580) with only 20 pips s/l and waiting for a south confirmation

A bounse of 5531 an the support line can result of a new high if 5600 breaks

Last edited by pelle64 : 16-05-2008 at 15:10.
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Old 16-05-2008, 18:11   #6702
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The Drawingboard

If these patterns are to hold we will be looking back at a reversal from 5600.

On the 1hr this implies revising the original hypothesis (smaller green ellipse drawn) and instead we will expect reversal to Z (61,8% of XY) or ZZ (100% of XY). Such revision will also bring consistency between the 15min and 1hr timeframe. ZZ corresponds in time with fractal cycle last months.

IST

Deleted figures to free up space

Last edited by ist : 11-06-2008 at 17:33.
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Old 17-05-2008, 14:58   #6703
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Re: The Drawingboard

Quote:
Originally Posted by ist
If these patterns are to hold we will be looking back at a reversal from 5600.

On the 1hr this implies revising the original hypothesis (smaller green ellipse drawn) and instead we will expect reversal to Z (61,8% of XY) or ZZ (100% of XY). Such revision will also bring consistency between the 15min and 1hr timeframe. ZZ corresponds in time with fractal cycle last months.

IST

Hello Ist... everyone...

ist... Does ellipse trading work for you?

I have seen many applying it but they ussually quit doing it.

Any down move will be capped at 1.5500,,, if that breaks again,, then goodbye 1.6... which I can't see it happening.

If you got any intresting read on ellipse,, would appreciate the links.
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Old 17-05-2008, 23:36   #6704
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Re: The Drawingboard

Quote:
Originally Posted by Noor
If you got any intresting read on ellipse,, would appreciate the links.

Would be interested too. Thanks.

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